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Red251
3390114.1
2429119.9
599131.0
Blue451
5805159.8
3647162.8
2493114.8
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2773780100200500600251451

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
599
#19
131.01.6
128.9130.4
Auto16.3
Teleop95.5
End21.7
blue by 31.8
3647
#15
162.80.8
161.0161.8
Auto16.7
Teleop118.4
End31.6
Second
2429
#26
119.90.2
119.7119.9
Auto17.3
Teleop87.7
End16.4
blue by 39.9
5805
#27
159.80.3
159.8159.5
Auto18.9
Teleop117.6
End24.4
Third
3390
#32
114.12.1
120.0117.9
Auto15.8
Teleop86.1
End10.6
blue by 0.8
2493
#17
114.80.4
113.9114.3
Auto16.1
Teleop84.9
End13.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
43%Auto Quest oddsEarned49%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
9%Face the Boss oddsMissed10%Face the Boss oddsEarned