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Red256
2102153.7
3647160.0
1266133.9
Blue188
1572168.2
5477106.2
1622179.6
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions326314200250300350256188

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
160.00.2
159.9160.1
Auto14.8
Teleop116.0
End28.1
blue by 19.6
1622
#17
179.60.8
181.2180.4
Auto19.1
Teleop137.4
End16.1
Second
2102
#16
153.70.1
153.9154.0
Auto21.1
Teleop117.3
End13.8
blue by 14.5
1572
#19
168.20.1
168.1168.2
Auto21.1
Teleop128.4
End18.4
Third
1266
#12
133.90.3
133.2133.5
Auto19.1
Teleop105.8
End8.4
red by 27.7
5477
#10
106.20.0
106.3106.3
Auto17.1
Teleop80.5
End8.4