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Red1
2102153.7
3647160.0
1266133.9
Blue0
1572168.2
5477106.2
1622179.6
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions326309010015020025035040010

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
160.00.1
160.1160.2
Auto14.8
Teleop116.0
End28.1
blue by 19.6
1622
#17DQ
179.60.8
180.4179.6
Auto19.1
Teleop137.4
End16.1
Second
2102
#16
153.70.0
154.0154.0
Auto21.1
Teleop117.3
End13.8
blue by 14.5
1572
#19DQ
168.20.0
168.2168.2
Auto21.1
Teleop128.4
End18.4
Third
1266
#12
133.90.2
133.5133.8
Auto19.1
Teleop105.8
End8.4
red by 27.7
5477
#10DQ
106.20.1
106.3106.2
Auto17.1
Teleop80.5
End8.4