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Quarterfinal 4-12018 Battle at the Border
Red429
3255B128.1
5199184.1
2658151.2
Blue159
4148.7
4738136.7
2543137.5
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3922520200600800429159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5199
#4
184.10.0
184.6→184.6
Auto25.2
Teleop136.4
End22.1
red by 35.4
4
#24
148.70.3
149.3→149.0
Auto18.1
Teleop115.7
End12.0
Second
2658
#20
151.20.0
151.8→151.8
Auto18.1
Teleop112.3
End22.9
red by 13.6
2543
#25
137.50.1
137.3→137.5
Auto16.8
Teleop104.7
End14.6
Third
3255B
#7
128.11.5
121.5→123.0
Auto15.2
Teleop99.1
End16.1
blue by 8.6
4738
#9
136.70.0
136.7→136.7
Auto20.4
Teleop103.5
End12.6