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Red1
3255B128.1
5199184.1
2658151.2
Blue0
4148.7
4738136.7
2543137.5
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions398245020060080010

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
184.10.1
184.6184.6
Auto25.2
Teleop136.4
End22.1
red by 35.4
4
#24DQ
148.70.3
149.0148.7
Auto18.1
Teleop115.7
End12.0
Second
2658
#20
151.20.0
151.8151.8
Auto18.1
Teleop112.3
End22.9
red by 13.6
2543
#25DQ
137.50.1
137.5137.5
Auto16.8
Teleop104.7
End14.6
Third
128.11.5
123.0124.5
Auto15.2
Teleop99.1
End16.1
blue by 8.6
4738
#9DQ
136.70.1
136.7136.7
Auto20.4
Teleop103.5
End12.6