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Red472
4201130.4
2122209.6
3309221.2
Blue290
6072152.3
5012171.7
3476195.0
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3783380200600800472290

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
221.20.2
220.6220.8
Auto22.0
Teleop163.2
End38.0
red by 26.2
3476
#14
195.00.3
194.2194.5
Auto21.9
Teleop147.6
End24.4
Second
209.60.5
211.1210.5
Auto23.1
Teleop154.0
End27.8
red by 38.0
171.70.3
170.8171.1
Auto20.4
Teleop126.2
End27.5
Third
4201
#28
130.40.1
130.7130.6
Auto19.9
Teleop100.0
End12.2
blue by 21.9
6072
#19
152.30.7
150.3151.0
Auto20.1
Teleop119.0
End16.2