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Quarterfinal 4-22018 Beach Blitz
Red372
399200.5
4322151.8
330190.4
Blue163
5810135.0
1836172.1
696149.1
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4192440100200300500600700372163

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
399
#9
200.50.2
201.0→200.8
Auto22.8
Teleop151.9
End23.1
red by 28.4
1836
#7
172.10.2
172.3→172.1
Auto30.0
Teleop125.6
End14.6
Second
330
#4
190.40.4
191.6→191.2
Auto21.5
Teleop139.0
End26.2
red by 41.3
696
#16
149.10.0
149.1→149.1
Auto21.7
Teleop116.8
End10.7
Third
4322
#15
151.80.3
151.2→151.4
Auto20.4
Teleop110.3
End21.3
red by 16.8
5810
#12
135.00.4
134.6→135.0
Auto20.7
Teleop105.0
End11.8