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Red213
6535108.7
5012171.7
968159.9
Blue292
5199184.6
4322151.8
330190.4
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2564120100200300500600213292

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
171.71.1
160.0161.2
Auto20.4
Teleop126.2
End27.5
blue by 18.7
330
#4
190.41.2
196.6195.4
Auto21.5
Teleop139.0
End26.2
Second
968
#20
159.91.2
168.3167.1
Auto21.7
Teleop122.8
End13.4
blue by 24.7
184.61.1
178.4179.5
Auto24.6
Teleop134.5
End25.1
Third
6535
#22
108.70.4
110.8110.4
Auto15.6
Teleop82.9
End10.2
blue by 43.1
4322
#15
151.80.7
157.8157.1
Auto20.4
Teleop110.3
End21.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
52%Auto Quest oddsEarned90%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
15%Face the Boss oddsEarned35%Face the Boss oddsMissed