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Red316
3309221.2
294164.0
4201130.4
Blue303
4999122.0
696149.1
1836172.1
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4172690100200500600700316303

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
221.21.7
211.6213.4
Auto22.0
Teleop163.2
End38.0
red by 49.1
172.11.7
166.0167.7
Auto30.0
Teleop125.6
End14.6
Second
294
#24
164.02.0
184.6182.6
Auto23.8
Teleop120.0
End20.1
red by 14.9
696
#16
149.10.5
156.2155.6
Auto21.7
Teleop116.8
End10.7
Third
4201
#28
130.41.2
140.9139.8
Auto19.9
Teleop100.0
End12.2
red by 8.4
4999
#27
122.00.5
120.5120.0
Auto18.1
Teleop89.5
End13.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
94%Auto Quest oddsEarned80%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
50%Face the Boss oddsMissed12%Face the Boss oddsMissed