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Qual 232018 Beach Blitz
Red418
6220125.0
5012171.7
5199184.6
Blue260
7157120.4
3473143.1
3309221.2
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3043420200400600800418260

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5199
#8
184.60.1
179.5→179.4
Auto24.6
Teleop134.5
End25.1
blue by 36.6
3309
#1
221.20.3
213.4→213.6
Auto22.0
Teleop163.2
End38.0
Second
5012
#2
171.70.9
161.2→162.1
Auto20.4
Teleop126.2
End27.5
red by 28.5
3473
#13
143.10.8
143.8→144.5
Auto17.1
Teleop113.1
End12.2
Third
6220
#11
125.01.9
114.6→116.5
Auto16.2
Teleop91.2
End16.4
red by 4.7
7157
#30
120.41.0
115.7→116.6
Auto15.9
Teleop96.9
End7.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
66%Auto Quest oddsEarned41%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
20%Face the Boss oddsEarned16%Face the Boss oddsMissed