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Red347
330190.4
599132.1
4999122.0
Blue199
5857115.4
7230118.0
1836172.1
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3432790100200400500600700347199

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
330
#4
190.41.9
195.4193.5
Auto21.5
Teleop139.0
End26.2
red by 18.3
172.11.6
167.7169.3
Auto30.0
Teleop125.6
End14.6
Second
599
#26
132.10.6
130.8130.2
Auto16.0
Teleop95.7
End22.3
red by 14.2
7230
#23
118.00.6
122.6122.0
Auto17.7
Teleop89.2
End11.9
Third
4999
#27
122.00.2
120.0119.8
Auto18.1
Teleop89.5
End13.9
red by 6.6
5857
#36
115.40.1
121.5121.3
Auto15.7
Teleop94.3
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
48%Auto Quest oddsEarned57%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
27%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed