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Red226
4201130.4
330190.4
2659162.3
Blue272
4276144.6
7157120.4
2493117.7
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4071890100300500600700226272

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
330
#4
190.40.4
192.5192.1
Auto21.5
Teleop139.0
End26.2
red by 45.8
4276
#33
144.61.3
152.4151.1
Auto22.1
Teleop107.8
End12.6
Second
2659
#17
162.30.6
163.6163.1
Auto22.2
Teleop121.5
End21.8
red by 41.9
7157
#30
120.40.5
117.2117.7
Auto15.9
Teleop96.9
End7.1
Third
4201
#28
130.41.3
136.7135.4
Auto19.9
Teleop100.0
End12.2
red by 12.8
2493
#25
117.70.1
114.6114.7
Auto17.1
Teleop87.0
End13.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
84%Auto Quest oddsMissed27%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
12%Face the Boss oddsEarned3%Face the Boss oddsMissed