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Red235
599132.1
5199184.6
5966116.5
Blue381
5012171.7
4999122.0
687172.7
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2783720100200500600700235381

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
184.60.9
180.4181.3
Auto24.6
Teleop134.5
End25.1
red by 11.9
687
#6
172.71.1
172.0173.1
Auto24.8
Teleop132.0
End16.4
Second
599
#26
132.10.1
130.3130.1
Auto16.0
Teleop95.7
End22.3
blue by 39.6
171.71.3
163.9165.3
Auto20.4
Teleop126.2
End27.5
Third
5966
#32
116.50.1
116.8116.7
Auto15.6
Teleop87.7
End12.8
blue by 5.5
4999
#27
122.00.3
120.1120.4
Auto18.1
Teleop89.5
End13.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
36%Auto Quest oddsMissed67%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
10%Face the Boss oddsMissed18%Face the Boss oddsMissed