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Red183
6535108.7
5810135.0
7230118.0
Blue364
2122209.6
4079150.6
3473143.1
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1654220100200300500600700183364

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5810
#12
135.00.5
131.2131.6
Auto20.7
Teleop105.0
End11.8
blue by 74.6
209.60.5
213.7213.3
Auto23.1
Teleop154.0
End27.8
Second
7230
#23
118.01.0
120.1119.1
Auto17.7
Teleop89.2
End11.9
blue by 32.6
4079
#21
150.60.7
151.2151.9
Auto16.8
Teleop121.8
End15.1
Third
6535
#22
108.70.6
108.5107.9
Auto15.6
Teleop82.9
End10.2
blue by 34.5
3473
#13
143.11.0
144.6143.5
Auto17.1
Teleop113.1
End12.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
17%Auto Quest oddsEarned81%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed19%Face the Boss oddsEarned