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Red174
4322151.8
2493117.7
3473143.1
Blue486
7157120.4
2122209.6
399200.5
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2184370100300400500600700800174486

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4322
#15
151.80.4
158.2157.8
Auto20.4
Teleop110.3
End21.3
blue by 57.9
209.60.8
215.4214.6
Auto23.1
Teleop154.0
End27.8
Second
3473
#13
143.10.8
142.6143.5
Auto17.1
Teleop113.1
End12.2
blue by 57.3
399
#9
200.50.5
203.7203.1
Auto22.8
Teleop151.9
End23.1
Third
2493
#25
117.70.2
115.2114.9
Auto17.1
Teleop87.0
End13.3
blue by 2.7
7157
#30
120.40.3
114.6114.9
Auto15.9
Teleop96.9
End7.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
53%Auto Quest oddsEarned85%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed52%Face the Boss oddsEarned