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Red476
1197173.0
4276144.6
5199184.6
Blue124
294164.0
599132.1
4619122.7
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3702920100200500600700476124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
184.60.2
178.6178.4
Auto24.6
Teleop134.5
End25.1
red by 20.6
294
#24
164.01.3
185.8184.6
Auto23.8
Teleop120.0
End20.1
Second
1197
#18
173.01.9
171.0169.1
Auto19.5
Teleop135.6
End18.0
red by 40.9
599
#26
132.10.2
132.1131.9
Auto16.0
Teleop95.7
End22.3
Third
4276
#33
144.61.4
155.1153.7
Auto22.1
Teleop107.8
End12.6
red by 21.9
4619
#29
122.72.6
116.8119.3
Auto16.1
Teleop97.6
End9.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
82%Auto Quest oddsEarned74%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
12%Face the Boss oddsEarned27%Face the Boss oddsMissed