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Quarterfinal 4-12018 Capital City Classic
Red370
5026152.2
4698139.9
114140.6
Blue230
5419134.7
1967143.0
6474164.4
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3332960100200400500600700370230

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5026
#10
152.20.4
150.5→150.9
Auto18.0
Teleop121.1
End16.7
blue by 12.2
6474
#33
164.40.3
165.0→164.7
Auto18.8
Teleop124.7
End19.9
Second
114
#4
140.60.6
138.0→138.6
Auto16.9
Teleop116.4
End12.1
blue by 2.5
1967
#7
143.00.1
142.8→142.9
Auto16.3
Teleop109.0
End14.1
Third
4698
#16
139.90.2
139.1→139.2
Auto16.2
Teleop109.4
End13.7
red by 5.2
5419
#9
134.70.3
134.5→134.7
Auto16.2
Teleop102.3
End18.9