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Quarterfinal 4-22018 Capital City Classic
Red429
5026152.2
4698139.9
114140.6
Blue304
5496151.0
1967143.0
6474164.4
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions331304100200400500600429304

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5026
#10
152.20.4
150.9→151.3
Auto18.0
Teleop121.1
End16.7
blue by 12.2
6474
#33
164.40.3
164.7→164.4
Auto18.8
Teleop124.7
End19.9
Second
114
#4
140.60.6
138.6→139.3
Auto16.9
Teleop116.4
End12.1
blue by 10.4
5496
#29
151.00.3
151.3→151.0
Auto15.2
Teleop113.9
End21.8
Third
4698
#16
139.90.2
139.2→139.5
Auto16.2
Teleop109.4
End13.7
blue by 3.1
1967
#7
143.00.1
142.9→143.0
Auto16.3
Teleop109.0
End14.1