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Qual 112018 Capital City Classic
Red365
1678246.7
6662110.2
5458139.9
Blue265
299118.0
2643147.0
5496151.0
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4012510200600800365265

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1678
#3
246.72.3
250.6→248.3
Auto24.5
Teleop178.7
End43.4
red by 95.7
5496
#29
151.00.0
156.3→156.3
Auto15.2
Teleop113.9
End21.8
Second
5458
#15
139.90.3
141.5→141.8
Auto18.8
Teleop99.8
End21.5
blue by 7.1
2643
#43
147.01.2
156.1→154.9
Auto18.0
Teleop112.8
End15.9
Third
6662
#28
110.21.0
113.3→112.3
Auto19.2
Teleop83.4
End7.8
blue by 7.8
299
#8
118.01.4
107.1→108.5
Auto14.3
Teleop89.6
End19.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
89%Auto Quest oddsEarned24%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
84%Face the Boss oddsMissed9%Face the Boss oddsMissed