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Red256
5419134.7
3189121.4
1280133.1
Blue200
4255108.9
2135138.4
7229105.3
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3602360100200300400500600700256200

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
134.70.0
129.1129.1
Auto16.2
Teleop102.3
End18.9
blue by 3.7
2135
#23
138.40.2
141.2141.0
Auto21.8
Teleop97.8
End16.5
Second
1280
#31
133.10.1
135.9136.0
Auto16.1
Teleop100.2
End16.6
red by 24.2
4255
#44
108.92.5
121.0118.6
Auto14.0
Teleop88.2
End4.6
Third
3189
#25
121.41.3
122.8124.1
Auto17.2
Teleop91.5
End12.2
red by 16.1
7229
#30
105.30.7
103.8103.1
Auto14.1
Teleop81.8
End13.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
44%Auto Quest oddsMissed57%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed