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Red194
3189121.4
2813114.1
199131.6
Blue330
3598136.1
6662110.2
6174125.7
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions294290200250350400194330

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
199
#38
131.60.8
128.0128.8
Auto18.9
Teleop101.4
End11.1
blue by 4.5
3598
#36
136.10.9
138.3137.4
Auto21.4
Teleop102.8
End12.0
Second
3189
#25
121.40.9
124.1125.0
Auto17.2
Teleop91.5
End12.2
blue by 4.4
125.70.2
116.4116.2
Auto19.1
Teleop95.4
End12.8
Third
2813
#18
114.10.5
116.5116.0
Auto19.0
Teleop86.4
End9.4
red by 3.9
6662
#28
110.20.6
112.3111.7
Auto19.2
Teleop83.4
End7.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
54%Auto Quest oddsMissed56%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed