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Qual 172018 Capital City Classic
Red153
603997.6
5458139.9
4643111.6
Blue364
6814109.6
6981106.5
5419134.7
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3192420100200400500600700153364

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5458
#15
139.90.4
141.8→142.2
Auto18.8
Teleop99.8
End21.5
red by 5.1
5419
#9
134.70.2
129.1→128.9
Auto16.2
Teleop102.3
End18.9
Second
4643
#40
111.60.5
118.6→118.1
Auto16.6
Teleop83.0
End11.8
red by 2.0
6814
#5
109.60.4
97.8→98.2
Auto15.8
Teleop83.2
End10.6
Third
6039
#32
97.61.2
104.9→103.7
Auto14.3
Teleop77.3
End6.1
blue by 8.9
6981
#37
106.51.5
105.6→104.1
Auto16.1
Teleop80.0
End12.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
36%Auto Quest oddsMissed26%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed