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Red211
3859126.0
7137115.5
6474164.4
Blue388
1662145.5
2135138.4
1323222.0
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2544100100200300500600700211388

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6474
#33
164.40.6
171.9171.2
Auto18.8
Teleop124.7
End19.9
blue by 57.6
222.00.3
212.7213.0
Auto24.2
Teleop170.8
End26.3
Second
3859
#21
126.00.2
128.3128.1
Auto18.9
Teleop89.8
End15.4
blue by 19.5
1662
#14
145.50.2
147.8148.0
Auto19.3
Teleop106.6
End14.7
Third
7137
#35
115.51.1
118.4117.4
Auto15.5
Teleop87.2
End7.6
blue by 22.9
2135
#23
138.40.6
141.0140.4
Auto21.8
Teleop97.8
End16.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
35%Auto Quest oddsEarned84%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
9%Face the Boss oddsMissed31%Face the Boss oddsMissed