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Qual 202018 Capital City Classic
Red444
6918118.9
5924134.0
254241.0
Blue163
1678246.7
4171114.5
7229105.3
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3592610100200300400500600700444163

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
254
#1
241.00.1
234.8→234.7
Auto25.3
Teleop177.3
End38.0
blue by 5.8
1678
#3
246.71.8
248.3→246.5
Auto24.5
Teleop178.7
End43.4
Second
5924
#24
134.00.1
133.2→133.1
Auto17.2
Teleop100.8
End12.3
red by 19.6
4171
#42
114.52.0
124.5→122.4
Auto16.0
Teleop84.8
End14.6
Third
6918
#17
118.90.3
116.6→116.9
Auto17.8
Teleop92.6
End9.8
red by 13.6
7229
#30
105.31.1
103.1→102.0
Auto14.1
Teleop81.8
End13.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
84%Auto Quest oddsEarned78%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
69%Face the Boss oddsEarned69%Face the Boss oddsEarned