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Red317
1678246.7
5274117.4
5419134.7
Blue389
1323222.0
199131.6
6814109.6
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37530202006008001,0001,2001,4001,600317389

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
246.70.6
246.1246.7
Auto24.5
Teleop178.7
End43.4
red by 24.7
222.01.1
219.2220.2
Auto24.2
Teleop170.8
End26.3
Second
134.71.1
133.4134.5
Auto16.2
Teleop102.3
End18.9
red by 3.1
199
#38
131.60.9
129.5130.4
Auto18.9
Teleop101.4
End11.1
Third
5274
#27
117.41.0
118.3117.4
Auto18.3
Teleop83.4
End15.5
red by 7.8
109.61.4
107.6108.9
Auto15.8
Teleop83.2
End10.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
83%Auto Quest oddsEarned67%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
61%Face the Boss oddsEarned14%Face the Boss oddsMissed