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Red235
1967143.0
5499144.0
1662145.5
Blue441
299118.0
6174125.7
254241.0
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2553570100200300400500600700235441

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1662
#14
145.50.3
145.2145.5
Auto19.3
Teleop106.6
End14.7
blue by 95.5
254
#1
241.00.1
238.9239.0
Auto25.3
Teleop177.3
End38.0
Second
5499
#20
144.00.4
143.8144.1
Auto17.8
Teleop112.3
End13.2
red by 18.3
125.71.1
122.7123.8
Auto19.1
Teleop95.4
End12.8
Third
143.00.7
142.1142.8
Auto16.3
Teleop109.0
End14.1
red by 25.0
299
#8
118.02.1
114.2116.3
Auto14.3
Teleop89.6
End19.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
47%Auto Quest oddsEarned76%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed58%Face the Boss oddsEarned