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Red313
1662145.5
1671153.6
6662110.2
Blue164
2551133.1
5458139.9
5419134.7
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3073540100200400500600700800313164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1671
#12
153.60.1
152.2152.4
Auto22.2
Teleop108.8
End20.2
red by 13.8
5458
#15
139.91.9
139.6141.5
Auto18.8
Teleop99.8
End21.5
Second
1662
#14
145.50.4
148.5148.2
Auto19.3
Teleop106.6
End14.7
red by 10.8
134.71.5
127.6129.1
Auto16.2
Teleop102.3
End18.9
Third
6662
#28
110.21.2
114.4113.3
Auto19.2
Teleop83.4
End7.8
blue by 22.9
2551
#34
133.10.5
135.8136.4
Auto18.9
Teleop100.1
End14.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
63%Auto Quest oddsEarned56%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed