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Red411
6174125.7
5026152.2
199131.6
Blue106
2643147.0
25399.3
5700127.9
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3032670100200400500600700800411106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5026
#10
152.22.1
152.0149.9
Auto18.0
Teleop121.1
End16.7
red by 5.3
2643
#43
147.00.5
156.6156.1
Auto18.0
Teleop112.8
End15.9
Second
199
#38
131.60.7
128.8128.0
Auto18.9
Teleop101.4
End11.1
red by 3.7
5700
#22
127.92.6
136.5133.9
Auto18.5
Teleop88.4
End24.4
Third
125.70.9
116.7115.7
Auto19.1
Teleop95.4
End12.8
red by 26.4
253
#19
99.30.0
98.398.3
Auto14.5
Teleop75.1
End7.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
53%Auto Quest oddsMissed34%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed