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Red236
5274117.4
6474164.4
4643111.6
Blue217
2073144.0
5499144.0
7137115.5
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions302293200250350400236217

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6474
#33
164.40.4
172.3171.9
Auto18.8
Teleop124.7
End19.9
red by 20.3
5499
#20
144.00.7
141.9141.2
Auto17.8
Teleop112.3
End13.2
Second
5274
#27
117.40.7
121.5122.2
Auto18.3
Teleop83.4
End15.5
blue by 26.6
2073
#13
144.00.6
141.8142.5
Auto20.2
Teleop112.6
End13.6
Third
4643
#40
111.60.2
118.9118.6
Auto16.6
Teleop83.0
End11.8
blue by 3.9
7137
#35
115.50.5
118.9118.4
Auto15.5
Teleop87.2
End7.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
44%Auto Quest oddsMissed34%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed