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Quarterfinal 2-22018 CalGames
Red385
668143.2
649156.1
681496.7
Blue212
6418159.0
4159143.4
4990133.5
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2833120100200400500600385212

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
649
#5
156.10.2
155.4→155.6
Auto20.1
Teleop130.1
End7.0
blue by 2.9
6418
#17
159.00.2
159.3→159.0
Auto19.6
Teleop121.5
End15.4
Second
668
#13
143.20.6
144.7→144.1
Auto23.6
Teleop105.6
End11.7
blue by 0.2
4159
#6
143.40.2
143.3→143.4
Auto20.0
Teleop111.4
End12.4
Third
6814
#24
96.70.1
96.4→96.4
Auto16.1
Teleop75.0
End5.8
blue by 36.8
4990
#29
133.50.7
134.2→133.5
Auto17.4
Teleop99.8
End14.0