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Semifinal 2-12018 CalGames
Red326
114123.5
199128.7
2854126.0
Blue226
100136.0
7308114.5
5104143.3
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2693250100200400500600700800326226

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
199
#26
128.70.1
128.8128.7
Auto20.1
Teleop98.0
End9.6
blue by 14.6
5104
#20
143.30.2
142.8142.9
Auto17.4
Teleop112.3
End13.8
Second
2854
#11
126.00.3
124.5124.7
Auto17.3
Teleop100.0
End9.4
blue by 10.0
100
#14
136.00.8
133.8134.6
Auto18.5
Teleop100.2
End20.2
Third
114
#9
123.50.5
121.1121.6
Auto15.8
Teleop103.8
End5.7
red by 9.0
114.50.7
112.5113.2
Auto16.3
Teleop88.9
End11.8