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Quarterfinal 3-12018 CalGames
Red259
4904145.6
1967131.1
6174116.7
Blue278
114123.5
199128.7
2854126.0
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3102630100200400500600700259278

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4904
#12
145.60.2
146.0→145.8
Auto18.1
Teleop113.3
End13.5
red by 16.9
199
#26
128.70.3
129.3→129.0
Auto20.1
Teleop98.0
End9.6
Second
1967
#2
131.10.6
129.9→130.5
Auto16.4
Teleop97.5
End18.3
red by 5.1
2854
#11
126.00.2
124.1→124.3
Auto17.3
Teleop100.0
End9.4
Third
6174
#22
116.70.3
117.3→117.0
Auto16.6
Teleop93.0
End6.2
blue by 6.9
114
#9
123.50.4
120.3→120.7
Auto15.8
Teleop103.8
End5.7