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Quarterfinal 3-22018 CalGames
Red259
4904145.6
1967131.1
6174116.7
Blue349
114123.5
199128.7
2854126.0
59%Model gave it41%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3082680100200400500600700259349

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4904
#12
145.60.2
145.8→145.6
Auto18.1
Teleop113.3
End13.5
red by 16.9
199
#26
128.70.2
129.0→128.8
Auto20.1
Teleop98.0
End9.6
Second
1967
#2
131.10.5
130.5→131.1
Auto16.4
Teleop97.5
End18.3
red by 5.1
2854
#11
126.00.2
124.3→124.5
Auto17.3
Teleop100.0
End9.4
Third
6174
#22
116.70.3
117.0→116.7
Auto16.6
Teleop93.0
End6.2
blue by 6.9
114
#9
123.50.4
120.7→121.1
Auto15.8
Teleop103.8
End5.7