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Qual 152018 CalGames
Red281
1351117.9
670169.8
668143.2
Blue220
5104143.3
2854126.0
972123.2
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3682490200600800281220

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
670
#3
169.80.7
171.8→171.1
Auto22.6
Teleop127.6
End17.4
red by 26.5
5104
#20
143.30.7
144.5→143.8
Auto17.4
Teleop112.3
End13.8
Second
668
#13
143.20.2
149.0→149.2
Auto23.6
Teleop105.6
End11.7
red by 17.3
2854
#11
126.00.5
119.8→120.4
Auto17.3
Teleop100.0
End9.4
Third
1351
#28
117.90.6
122.0→121.4
Auto17.4
Teleop92.5
End7.9
blue by 5.2
972
#25
123.20.4
124.2→123.7
Auto15.5
Teleop97.8
End13.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
86%Auto Quest oddsMissed66%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed