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Qual 142018 CalGames
Red99
3045103.4
115153.3
25398.9
Blue345
100136.0
846182.1
751123.1
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions241351010020030040050060070099345

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
115
#4
153.30.9
151.2→152.1
Auto19.8
Teleop117.0
End15.1
blue by 28.8
846
#1
182.11.2
176.2→177.4
Auto24.4
Teleop133.3
End30.0
Second
3045
#23
103.40.2
106.4→106.6
Auto17.5
Teleop79.9
End6.6
blue by 32.6
100
#14
136.00.2
129.8→129.6
Auto18.5
Teleop100.2
End20.2
Third
253
#27
98.90.4
103.4→103.0
Auto14.2
Teleop76.2
End7.0
blue by 24.2
751
#16
123.10.1
125.4→125.3
Auto16.6
Teleop100.1
End7.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
39%Auto Quest oddsMissed75%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed