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Red381
1868137.2
4765113.6
4159143.4
Blue185
6418159.0
682291.9
4990133.5
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2823070100200400500600700800381185

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
143.40.9
143.5142.7
Auto20.0
Teleop111.4
End12.4
blue by 15.6
6418
#17
159.00.4
163.0163.5
Auto19.6
Teleop121.5
End15.4
Second
137.20.5
137.0136.5
Auto18.0
Teleop107.7
End13.6
red by 3.7
4990
#29
133.52.5
144.6142.1
Auto17.4
Teleop99.8
End14.0
Third
4765
#21
113.60.8
115.7114.9
Auto15.1
Teleop84.8
End11.2
red by 21.7
6822
#34
91.90.7
96.896.1
Auto14.8
Teleop73.3
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
27%Auto Quest oddsEarned48%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
1%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed