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Qual 122018 CalGames
Red132
199128.7
1351117.9
972123.2
Blue259
114123.5
3501143.4
7308114.5
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions297294150200250350400132259

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
199
#26
128.71.3
138.3→137.0
Auto20.1
Teleop98.0
End9.6
blue by 14.6
3501
#35
143.40.1
150.6→150.5
Auto16.5
Teleop116.2
End7.7
Second
972
#25
123.21.0
123.2→124.2
Auto15.5
Teleop97.8
End13.8
blue by 0.4
114
#9
123.50.2
118.2→118.5
Auto15.8
Teleop103.8
End5.7
Third
1351
#28
117.90.8
121.2→122.0
Auto17.4
Teleop92.5
End7.9
red by 3.4
7308
#8
114.50.3
110.5→110.2
Auto16.3
Teleop88.9
End11.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
54%Auto Quest oddsMissed27%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed