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Qual 112018 CalGames
Red393
649156.1
846182.1
2854126.0
Blue118
6174116.7
688491.2
100136.0
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3701980100300500600700393118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
846
#1
182.10.7
175.5→176.2
Auto24.4
Teleop133.3
End30.0
red by 46.1
100
#14
136.00.2
129.6→129.8
Auto18.5
Teleop100.2
End20.2
Second
649
#5
156.11.3
159.2→157.9
Auto20.1
Teleop130.1
End7.0
red by 39.4
6174
#22
116.70.2
120.3→120.6
Auto16.6
Teleop93.0
End6.2
Third
2854
#11
126.00.2
120.0→119.8
Auto17.3
Teleop100.0
End9.4
red by 34.8
6884
#33
91.21.5
99.6→98.1
Auto17.1
Teleop68.3
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
89%Auto Quest oddsEarned42%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed