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Qual 102018 CalGames
Red246
682291.9
2489126.6
5104143.3
Blue26
170087.4
2813116.1
25398.9
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions336231040060080024626

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5104
#20
143.30.1
144.6→144.5
Auto17.4
Teleop112.3
End13.8
red by 27.2
2813
#15
116.10.7
118.0→118.7
Auto18.2
Teleop87.6
End10.7
Second
2489
#30
126.60.0
130.8→130.8
Auto15.1
Teleop95.7
End14.6
red by 27.7
253
#27
98.90.8
102.6→103.4
Auto14.2
Teleop76.2
End7.0
Third
6822
#34
91.90.1
96.8→96.8
Auto14.8
Teleop73.3
End5.8
red by 4.5
1700
#36
87.40.8
92.7→91.9
Auto16.7
Teleop66.6
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
45%Auto Quest oddsMissed35%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed