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Qual 92018 CalGames
Red121
4990133.5
4255122.1
670169.8
Blue388
6418159.0
115153.3
1458123.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions326324150200250300350121388

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
670
#3
169.81.2
170.6→171.8
Auto22.6
Teleop127.6
End17.4
red by 10.7
6418
#17
159.00.5
163.5→163.0
Auto19.6
Teleop121.5
End15.4
Second
4990
#29
133.50.6
145.3→144.6
Auto17.4
Teleop99.8
End14.0
blue by 19.8
115
#4
153.30.1
151.0→151.2
Auto19.8
Teleop117.0
End15.1
Third
4255
#31
122.10.5
127.9→127.4
Auto16.1
Teleop95.3
End9.1
blue by 1.6
1458
#10
123.70.7
119.6→118.8
Auto16.6
Teleop90.5
End21.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
89%Auto Quest oddsMissed46%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
9%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed