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Qual 82018 CalGames
Red162
4765113.6
543098.8
681496.7
Blue398
1868137.2
1967131.1
3045103.4
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2143450100300400500600700800162398

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4765
#21
113.60.0
115.7→115.7
Auto15.1
Teleop84.8
End11.2
blue by 23.6
1868
#7
137.21.4
138.4→137.0
Auto18.0
Teleop107.7
End13.6
Second
5430
#32
98.80.6
104.9→104.3
Auto13.0
Teleop77.7
End7.0
blue by 32.2
1967
#2
131.13.0
118.1→121.1
Auto16.4
Teleop97.5
End18.3
Third
6814
#24
96.70.1
98.7→98.7
Auto16.1
Teleop75.0
End5.8
blue by 6.7
3045
#23
103.40.5
107.0→106.4
Auto17.5
Teleop79.9
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
10%Auto Quest oddsMissed29%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed