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Qual 72018 CalGames
Red226
4159143.4
2643156.6
751123.1
Blue273
2473120.3
668143.2
4904145.6
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3033240100200400500600700800226273

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2643
#18
156.60.1
153.4→153.3
Auto18.7
Teleop120.8
End17.0
red by 11.0
4904
#12
145.60.2
149.2→149.0
Auto18.1
Teleop113.3
End13.5
Second
4159
#6
143.40.3
143.9→143.5
Auto20.0
Teleop111.4
End12.4
red by 0.2
668
#13
143.20.2
148.8→149.0
Auto23.6
Teleop105.6
End11.7
Third
751
#16
123.10.5
124.9→125.4
Auto16.6
Teleop100.1
End7.0
red by 2.8
2473
#19
120.30.1
122.7→122.7
Auto15.7
Teleop92.9
End7.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
38%Auto Quest oddsEarned89%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed