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Qual 62018 CalGames
Red282
6174116.7
2854126.0
25398.9
Blue201
170087.4
199128.7
4990133.5
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions279292200250350400282201

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2854
#11
126.00.1
120.1→120.0
Auto17.3
Teleop100.0
End9.4
blue by 7.6
4990
#29
133.50.2
145.0→145.3
Auto17.4
Teleop99.8
End14.0
Second
6174
#22
116.70.5
119.8→120.3
Auto16.6
Teleop93.0
End6.2
blue by 12.0
199
#26
128.71.1
139.4→138.3
Auto20.1
Teleop98.0
End9.6
Third
253
#27
98.91.2
101.4→102.6
Auto14.2
Teleop76.2
End7.0
red by 11.5
1700
#36
87.40.4
93.1→92.7
Auto16.7
Teleop66.6
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
36%Auto Quest oddsMissed69%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed