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Qual 182018 CalGames
Red304
2813116.1
4255122.1
199128.7
Blue160
2473120.3
543098.8
688491.2
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3302340100200300400500600304160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
199
#26
128.72.3
137.0→134.7
Auto20.1
Teleop98.0
End9.6
red by 8.5
2473
#19
120.30.0
122.7→122.8
Auto15.7
Teleop92.9
End7.4
Second
4255
#31
122.12.0
127.4→125.4
Auto16.1
Teleop95.3
End9.1
red by 23.3
5430
#32
98.81.2
104.3→103.0
Auto13.0
Teleop77.7
End7.0
Third
2813
#15
116.10.6
118.7→118.1
Auto18.2
Teleop87.6
End10.7
red by 25.0
6884
#33
91.21.4
98.1→96.7
Auto17.1
Teleop68.3
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
51%Auto Quest oddsEarned23%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed