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Qual 192018 CalGames
Red272
846182.1
4159143.4
4990133.5
Blue198
1351117.9
114123.5
5104143.3
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3452490100200300400500600700272198

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
846
#1
182.10.9
177.4→178.4
Auto24.4
Teleop133.3
End30.0
red by 38.8
5104
#20
143.30.7
143.8→143.1
Auto17.4
Teleop112.3
End13.8
Second
4159
#6
143.40.4
142.7→143.1
Auto20.0
Teleop111.4
End12.4
red by 19.9
114
#9
123.50.8
118.2→119.1
Auto15.8
Teleop103.8
End5.7
Third
4990
#29
133.52.5
142.1→139.6
Auto17.4
Teleop99.8
End14.0
red by 15.6
1351
#28
117.90.6
121.4→120.8
Auto17.4
Teleop92.5
End7.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
85%Auto Quest oddsEarned34%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed