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Red222
2473120.3
681496.7
25398.9
Blue166
972123.2
4765113.6
688491.2
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions268271150200250300350222166

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2473
#19
120.30.7
122.8122.1
Auto15.7
Teleop92.9
End7.4
blue by 2.9
972
#25
123.20.5
123.7123.2
Auto15.5
Teleop97.8
End13.8
Second
253
#27
98.90.9
103.0102.1
Auto14.2
Teleop76.2
End7.0
blue by 14.7
4765
#21
113.60.4
114.9115.3
Auto15.1
Teleop84.8
End11.2
Third
6814
#24
96.70.4
98.098.4
Auto16.1
Teleop75.0
End5.8
red by 5.5
6884
#33
91.21.7
96.795.1
Auto17.1
Teleop68.3
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
28%Auto Quest oddsMissed40%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed