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Qual 222018 CalGames
Red376
2854126.0
2643156.6
1458123.7
Blue157
3045103.4
2813116.1
649156.1
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions295293200250350400376157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2643
#18
156.60.5
152.7→153.2
Auto18.7
Teleop120.8
End17.0
red by 0.5
649
#5
156.10.1
157.5→157.4
Auto20.1
Teleop130.1
End7.0
Second
2854
#11
126.00.2
120.4→120.6
Auto17.3
Teleop100.0
End9.4
red by 9.8
2813
#15
116.10.2
118.1→117.9
Auto18.2
Teleop87.6
End10.7
Third
1458
#10
123.70.3
119.1→119.3
Auto16.6
Teleop90.5
End21.5
red by 20.3
3045
#23
103.40.5
106.6→106.1
Auto17.5
Teleop79.9
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
46%Auto Quest oddsMissed65%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed