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Red225
4255122.1
7308114.5
6174116.7
Blue163
4159143.4
3501143.4
682291.9
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24929102004006008001,000225163

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4255
#31
122.11.0
124.2123.2
Auto16.1
Teleop95.3
End9.1
blue by 21.3
143.40.2
143.1143.4
Auto20.0
Teleop111.4
End12.4
Second
6174
#22
116.70.8
120.0119.3
Auto16.6
Teleop93.0
End6.2
blue by 26.7
3501
#35
143.41.9
149.7147.8
Auto16.5
Teleop116.2
End7.7
Third
114.50.4
109.2109.5
Auto16.3
Teleop88.9
End11.8
red by 22.6
6822
#34
91.90.6
94.994.2
Auto14.8
Teleop73.3
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
34%Auto Quest oddsMissed42%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed1%Face the Boss oddsMissed