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Qual 302018 CalGames
Red158
199128.7
681496.7
6418159.0
Blue401
100136.0
668143.2
5104143.3
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2703430200400600800158401

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6418
#17
159.00.9
163.1→162.2
Auto19.6
Teleop121.5
End15.4
red by 15.8
5104
#20
143.31.0
143.1→142.2
Auto17.4
Teleop112.3
End13.8
Second
199
#26
128.70.8
133.3→132.5
Auto20.1
Teleop98.0
End9.6
blue by 14.5
668
#13
143.21.7
149.1→147.4
Auto23.6
Teleop105.6
End11.7
Third
6814
#24
96.70.1
98.4→98.3
Auto16.1
Teleop75.0
End5.8
blue by 39.3
100
#14
136.00.3
129.5→129.8
Auto18.5
Teleop100.2
End20.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
57%Auto Quest oddsMissed71%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed