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Qual 312018 CalGames
Red266
4904145.6
688491.2
3045103.4
Blue212
4990133.5
2489126.6
1351117.9
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2443090100200400500600266212

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4904
#12
145.61.4
148.5→147.1
Auto18.1
Teleop113.3
End13.5
red by 12.1
4990
#29
133.51.3
137.5→136.1
Auto17.4
Teleop99.8
End14.0
Second
3045
#23
103.40.8
104.9→104.1
Auto17.5
Teleop79.9
End6.6
blue by 23.2
2489
#30
126.61.4
129.3→127.9
Auto15.1
Teleop95.7
End14.6
Third
6884
#33
91.21.1
93.2→92.1
Auto17.1
Teleop68.3
End5.1
blue by 26.8
1351
#28
117.91.0
119.9→118.9
Auto17.4
Teleop92.5
End7.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
70%Auto Quest oddsMissed19%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed